Thailand
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April 17, 2024
March 22, 2024
Asia/Pacific (ex-China/Japan) Outlook: Election Spending to Drive Growth
March 22, 2024 12:18 PM UTC
· In 2024, growth trends across emerging Asia will exhibit a mixed pattern. Encouragingly, there will be a resurgence in demand for global electronics following a period of stagnation in 2022‑23, which will provide a boost to regional trade. Moreover, the initiation of monetary policy
January 17, 2024
Thailand: Watching the Politics
January 17, 2024 9:00 PM UTC
Following Thailand’s elections in May 2023, the country’s political forecast appears to be marked by both challenges and promises of reform. multiracial Pakatan Harapan (PH) coalition, will find it challenging to spearhead a unity government incorporating pro-Malay factions.
January 16, 2024
December 18, 2023
Asia/Pacific (ex-China/Japan) Outlook: Going Big, Going Strong
December 18, 2023 10:05 AM UTC
Our Forecasts
Source: Continuum Economics
Risks to Our Views
Source: Continuum Economics
Regional Dynamics: Mixed Prospects in 2024
In H1-2024, much like in 2023, the emerging economies in Asia will continue to outperform other emerging markets and display notable resilience in comparison to develope
October 20, 2023
Asia Country Risk Ratings
October 20, 2023 3:21 PM UTC
Cambodia
Cambodia’s overall risk level remains medium high. Samdech Hun Sen remains the prime minister of the country and leader of Cambodia’s People Party (CPP) and has been since 1985. Hun Sen won the 2023 election with a 76.85%, winning 120 out of the 125 seats. The leader of the Cambodia Nati
September 15, 2023
Thailand Country Risk Ratings
September 15, 2023 10:20 AM UTC
Political violence remains a high risk. Thailand has a general election in May 2023. The opposition is likely to strengthen into a coalition government, with one or more military-backed parties. In the scenario of a coalition government with no party having a clear mandate, governmental stabilitie
July 21, 2023
Asia: Election Fever and High Inflation Impact
July 21, 2023 7:26 AM UTC
Alongside India, its neighbor Pakistan’s elections are due in October, which will likely stoke violence there. Indonesia too is gearing up for elections in early 2024 and the political landscape there is also tense. In the past quarter, political risks were elevated in Asia given unpopular policie
Asia Country Risk Ratings
July 21, 2023 7:15 AM UTC
Afghanistan
Afghanistan has a very-high overall risk. The Islamic Emirate of Afghanistan (ruling political entity) is under the leadership of the Taliban, a predominantly Pashtun, and Islamic fundamentalist political movement. The presence of ethnic fragmentation, Islamic terrorist movement and human
February 27, 2023
Emerging Asia Faces Crosswinds
February 27, 2023 9:31 AM UTC
Indonesia: Lowest Trade Surplus Since May 2022
Indonesia’s trade surplus came in lower than market expectations as it dipped to $3.9bn in December 2022, from $5.1bn in November. The overall trade balance for Indonesia was at a record high of $54bn in 2022, on account of higher commodity prices duri